Oregon Population Forecast Program

.title[
# Oregon Population Forecast Program
]
.subtitle[
## Preliminary Forecasts for Counties & UGBs
]
.author[
### Douglas County
]
.institute[
### Portland State University Population Research Center
]
.date[
### December 2025
]

---

# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

---

# PSUPRC Project Team

**Joshua Wilde**  
*Research Scientist*

**Gilbert Montcho**  
*Demographic and Labor Economics Analyst*

]

**Huda Alkitkat**  
*Population Estimates Project Manager*

**David Swanson**  
*Research Associate*

**Suniva Thangaraj**  
*Program Manager*
]

---

# Douglas County Outline

- Population Overview
- Total Population
- Births
- Deaths
- Migration
- Aging
- Race & Ethnicity
- UGB Forecasts

---

# Douglas at a Glance: 2020 Census

.pulll-right {
 float: right;
 width: 68%;
 }
</style>

.pux-right {
 float: right;
 width: 58%;
 }
</style>

<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Statistic </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Douglas </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Oregon </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Total Population </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 111,201 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,237,256 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 0-17 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 19.30% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.20% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 25.99% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.25% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population non-White </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.16% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.41% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.39 (49,774 units) </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 (1,813,747 units) </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>

---

# Douglas Employment Changes

<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-4fd0c0f5c572215557cc" style="width:750px;height:500px;"></div>
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7,306"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(100,178,0,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Government","legendgroup":"Government","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1992.590909090909,1997.590909090909,2002.590909090909,2007.590909090909,2012.590909090909,2017.590909090909,2022.590909090909],"y":[387,523,426,326,266,271,313],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 387","Year: 1998 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 523","Year: 2003 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 426","Year: 2008 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 326","Year: 2013 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 266","Year: 2018 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 271","Year: 2023 County: Douglas Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 313"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,189,92,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Information","legendgroup":"Information","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1993,1998,2003,2008,2013,2018,2023],"y":[2920,3933,3241,3536,3159,3448,3774],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Douglas Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 2,920","Year: 1998 County: Douglas Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 3,933","Year: 2003 County: Douglas Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 3,241","Year: 2008 County: Douglas Industry: Leisure and hospitality 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---

# Douglas Migration Flows

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---

# Douglas Population

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Growth has noticeably slowed in the period following the pandemic and the  population is expected to stabilize over the forecast period. 
]

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]

---

# Douglas Compositional Changes

.pulll-left[
Natural change has rapidly fallen, and increased migration is necessary to maintain a stable population size. 
]

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---

# Douglas Births

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]

---

# Douglas Deaths

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-865134aee5a0ca2c0ec9" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
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]

---

# Douglas Life Expectancy & TFR

---

# Population Pyramids

.pulll-left[
Out migration of young age populations, retirement migration, and continued aging in place is expected to contribute to a top heavy population dynamic.
]

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2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 0-4 Population: 1,552","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 5-9 Population: 1,732","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 10-14 Population: 2,093","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 15-19 Population: 2,293","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 20-24 Population: 1,982","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 25-29 Population: 1,746","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 30-34 Population: 2,486","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 35-39 Population: 2,706","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 40-44 Population: 2,841","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 45-49 Population: 3,280","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 50-54 Population: 4,227","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 55-59 Population: 4,719","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 60-64 Population: 4,937","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 65-69 Population: 4,852","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 70-74 Population: 4,434","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 75-79 Population: 3,892","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 80-84 Population: 3,155","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 85+ Population: 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1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 1,359","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 719","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 3,477","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 2,357","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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---

# Douglas Race and Ethnicity

.pulll-left[
Douglas county's White population is measurably older than its non-White population which is expected to lead to population decline in the coming years. 
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-5bc3b7acb96c69c7fb5e" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
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]

---

# Douglas UGB Population Changes

---

# Douglas UGBs: Canyonville in Context

.pux-right[
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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.39% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.19% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 39.70% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 465 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 580 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 790 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.04% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.07% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.34% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.80 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.41 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.21 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $14,242 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $27,674 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $41,573 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.75% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.84% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Canyonville UGB Boundaries

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---

# Canyonville UGB Pop Forecast

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# Canyonville UGB Pop Forecast

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# Douglas UGBs: Drain in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Douglas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.63% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.22% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.92% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 444 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 441 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 496 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.47% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.02% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.13% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.77 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.57 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.59 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $15,000 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $27,833 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $49,130 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.51% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.56% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.46% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Drain UGB Boundaries

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---

# Drain UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Drain UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Elkton in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Douglas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-25-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 19.35% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.45% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 46.45% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 65 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 82 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 107 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.92% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.80% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.79% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.46 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.04 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1.93 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $13,056 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $27,188 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $45,625 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.07% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 100.00% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Elkton UGB Boundaries

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---

# Elkton UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Elkton UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Glendale in Context

.pux-right[
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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.78% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.89% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.66% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 293 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 355 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 383 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.81% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.30% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.65 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.75 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.51 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $13,646 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $27,625 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $55,481 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 69.08% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.16% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.72% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Glendale UGB Boundaries

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---

# Glendale UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Glendale UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Myrtle Creek in Context

.pux-right[
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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.64% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.37% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,203 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,437 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,544 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.93% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.18% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.39% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.92 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.55 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.39 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $16,694 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $30,658 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $56,842 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.48% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.33% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Myrtle Creek UGB Boundaries

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---

# Myrtle Creek UGB Pop Forecast

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# Myrtle Creek UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Oakland in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Douglas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-40-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.69% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.09% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 33.19% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 350 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 404 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 413 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.57% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.32% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.62% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.73 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.53 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.55 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $15,469 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $29,479 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,909 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 82.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.53% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.85% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Oakland UGB Boundaries

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---

# Oakland UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Oakland UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Reedsport in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.90% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 26.15% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 31.35% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,985 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,178 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,183 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.21% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.82% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.51% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.65 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.19 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.20 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $17,300 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $26,054 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $48,329 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.23% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.98% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 98.70% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Reedsport UGB Boundaries

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---

# Reedsport UGB Pop Forecast

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# Reedsport UGB Pop Forecast

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# Douglas UGBs: Riddle in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Douglas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-50-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.11% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.93% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.50% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 476 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 406 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 522 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.28% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.84% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.49% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.85 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.66 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.49 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $16,429 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $28,750 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,121 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.02% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.47% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.75% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Riddle UGB Boundaries

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---

# Riddle UGB Pop Forecast

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# Riddle UGB Pop Forecast

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# Douglas UGBs: Roseburg in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.98% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.93% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.34% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 6,733 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8,838 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10,642 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.14% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.20% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.60% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.32 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.27 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $16,267 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $31,250 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $50,297 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.66% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.02% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Roseburg UGB Boundaries

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---

# Roseburg UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Roseburg UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Sutherlin in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Douglas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-60-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.00% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.29% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 25.99% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,716 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,975 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3,730 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.19% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.18% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.85 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.46 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.41 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $14,770 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $29,068 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $48,610 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.27% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.03% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.29% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Sutherlin UGB Boundaries

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---

# Sutherlin UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Sutherlin UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Winston in Context

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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.48% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.22% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.77% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,240 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,892 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,384 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.19% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.65% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.64% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.88 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.61 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.46 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $15,596 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $28,939 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $51,182 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.72% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.06% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.19% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Winston UGB Boundaries

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---

# Winston UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Winston UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Douglas UGBs: Yoncalla in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Douglas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-70-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.02% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.25% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 32.81% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 323 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 437 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 467 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.74% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.59% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.65% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.63 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.56 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.45 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $13,015 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $26,625 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $50,234 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 82.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.14% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.64% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Douglas County: Yoncalla UGB Boundaries

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# Yoncalla UGB Pop Forecast

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# Yoncalla UGB Pop Forecast

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# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

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