Oregon Population Forecast Program

.title[
# Oregon Population Forecast Program
]
.subtitle[
## Preliminary Forecasts for Counties & UGBs
]
.author[
### Jackson County
]
.institute[
### Portland State University Population Research Center
]
.date[
### December 2025
]

---

# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

---

# PSUPRC Project Team

**Joshua Wilde**  
*Research Scientist*

**Gilbert Montcho**  
*Demographic and Labor Economics Analyst*

]

**Huda Alkitkat**  
*Population Estimates Project Manager*

**David Swanson**  
*Research Associate*

**Suniva Thangaraj**  
*Program Manager*
]

---

# Jackson County Outline

- Population Overview
- Total Population
- Births
- Deaths
- Migration
- Aging
- Race & Ethnicity
- UGB Forecasts

---

# Jackson at a Glance: 2020 Census

.pulll-right {
 float: right;
 width: 68%;
 }
</style>

.pux-right {
 float: right;
 width: 58%;
 }
</style>

<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Statistic </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Jackson </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Oregon </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Total Population </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 223,259 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,237,256 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 0-17 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.32% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.20% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.43% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.25% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population non-White </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.59% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.41% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.43 (96,239 units) </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 (1,813,747 units) </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>

---

# Jackson Employment Changes

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1993 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 2,519","Year: 1998 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 2,802","Year: 2003 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 3,315","Year: 2008 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 3,635","Year: 2013 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 3,078","Year: 2018 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 3,375","Year: 2023 County: Jackson Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 3,031"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(174,162,0,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Financial activities","legendgroup":"Financial 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11,041"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(100,178,0,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Government","legendgroup":"Government","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1992.590909090909,1997.590909090909,2002.590909090909,2007.590909090909,2012.590909090909,2017.590909090909,2022.590909090909],"y":[1220,1442,1823,1626,1474,1191,911],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,220","Year: 1998 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,442","Year: 2003 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,823","Year: 2008 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,626","Year: 2013 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,474","Year: 2018 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,191","Year: 2023 County: Jackson Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 911"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,189,92,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Information","legendgroup":"Information","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1993,1998,2003,2008,2013,2018,2023],"y":[6549,7661,8801,9481,9509,11629,10723],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Jackson Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 6,549","Year: 1998 County: Jackson Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 7,661","Year: 2003 County: Jackson Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 8,801","Year: 2008 County: Jackson Industry: Leisure 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---

# Jackson Migration Flows

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---

# Jackson Population

.pulll-left[
Population growth has greatly slowed in the post-2020 time period, driven by a combination of slowing in migration and fire driven out migration. 
]

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---

# Jackson Compositional Changes

.pulll-left[
Net migration slowed dramatically post-2020 in tandem with declining natural change in the county.
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-25975f43549f5ae950fa" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
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]

---

# Jackson Births

.pulll-left[
Births have been on the decline in the county since 2007, and are expected to continue to decline in the short term before rebounding.
]

.pulll-right[
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]

---

# Jackson Deaths

.pulll-left[
Deaths have been increasing and are expected to continue to increase in the coming years.
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-c0b9b287763b48e5bc36" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
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]

---

# Jackson Life Expectancy & TFR

---

# Population Pyramids

.pulll-left[
Population aging is expected to continue, with the population becoming more "top-heavy" through the forecast period.
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-774907587f8bb4674ce6" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
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70-74 Population: 8,415","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 75-79 Population: 7,285","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 80-84 Population: 6,141","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 85+ Population: 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1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 2,145","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 1,158","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 4,326","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 2,476","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 0-4 Population: 4,545","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 5-9 Population: 5,186","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 10-14 Population: 7,053","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 15-19 Population: 7,191","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 20-24 Population: 5,944","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 25-29 Population: 4,177","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 30-34 Population: 6,821","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 35-39 Population: 7,839","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 40-44 Population: 7,654","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 45-49 Population: 7,733","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 50-54 Population: 6,844","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 55-59 Population: 6,730","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 60-64 Population: 6,473","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 65-69 Population: 7,087","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 70-74 Population: 7,025","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 6,177","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 4,083","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 6,613","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 4,885","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 4,431"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(165,223,249,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Male","legendgroup":"Male","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x2","yaxis":"y2","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":62.492320464923225,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":69.73848069738483},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":" Age 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---

# Jackson Race and Ethnicity

.pulll-left[
The county's White population noticeably declined in the post-2020 period while the Hispanic population continued to grow.
]

.pulll-right[
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]

---

# Jackson UGB Population Changes

---

# Jackson UGBs: Ashland in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Jackson_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-15-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.84% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 27.84% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 6,330 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9,050 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10,966 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.35% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.33% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.66% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.34 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.14 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.05 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $13,248 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $32,670 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $64,767 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.50% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.62% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.32% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Ashland UGB Boundaries

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---

# Ashland UGB Pop Forecast

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# Ashland UGB Pop Forecast

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# Jackson UGBs: Butte Falls in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Jackson_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.02% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.85% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.99% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 167 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 170 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 187 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.65% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.71 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.74 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.50 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $15,789 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $23,750 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $45,357 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 76.37% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.22% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.11% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Butte Falls UGB Boundaries

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# Butte Falls UGB Pop Forecast

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# Butte Falls UGB Pop Forecast

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# Jackson UGBs: Central Point in Context

.pux-right[
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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.78% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.18% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.84% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,290 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,760 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7,564 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.10% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.91% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.78% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.91 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.69 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.55 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $17,511 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $40,622 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $79,731 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.05% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.57% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.90% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Central Point UGB Boundaries

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---

# Central Point UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Central Point UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Jackson UGBs: Eagle Point in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Jackson_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-30-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.52% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.13% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.74% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 991 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,823 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3,896 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.77% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.42% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.33% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.88 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.82 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.57 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $14,045 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $37,557 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $83,625 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.96% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.96% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.07% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Eagle Point UGB Boundaries

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# Eagle Point UGB Pop Forecast

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# Eagle Point UGB Pop Forecast

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# Jackson UGBs: Gold Hill in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.26% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.37% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.73% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 370 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 446 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 578 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.97% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.95% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.94% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.62 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.56 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.46 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $11,152 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $32,500 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $39,338 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 83.63% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.74% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.74% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

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# Jackson County: Gold Hill UGB Boundaries

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---

# Gold Hill UGB Pop Forecast

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# Gold Hill UGB Pop Forecast

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# Jackson UGBs: Jacksonville in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.63% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 24.65% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 39.50% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 887 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,102 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,651 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.72% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.55% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.37 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.15 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.02 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $14,067 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $41,250 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $100,486 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.46% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.24% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Jacksonville UGB Boundaries

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---

# Jacksonville UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Jacksonville UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Jackson UGBs: Medford in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Jackson_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-45-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.71% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.52% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.43% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16,553 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 26,297 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 35,646 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.00% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.42% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.38% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.47 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $15,614 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $36,481 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $65,647 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.50% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.05% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Medford UGB Boundaries

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---

# Medford UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Medford UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Jackson UGBs: Phoenix in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Jackson_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-50-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.77% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.13% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 34.57% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 944 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,850 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,118 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.89% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.38% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.75% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.52 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.32 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.21 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $14,375 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $31,701 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $47,382 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.53% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.68% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.92% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Phoenix UGB Boundaries

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---

# Phoenix UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Phoenix UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Jackson UGBs: Rogue River in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Jackson_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-55-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 25.92% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 33.62% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 30.12% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 602 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 949 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,233 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.85% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.05% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.62% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.32 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.03 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.04 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $11,645 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $23,419 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $43,929 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.75% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.06% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.77% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Rogue River UGB Boundaries

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# Rogue River UGB Pop Forecast

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# Rogue River UGB Pop Forecast

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# Jackson UGBs: Shady Cove in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.60% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.28% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 31.58% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 489 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,107 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,506 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.59% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.34% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.70% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.33 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.23 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $11,406 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $33,429 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,702 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 82.56% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.99% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Shady Cove UGB Boundaries

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---

# Shady Cove UGB Pop Forecast

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# Shady Cove UGB Pop Forecast

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# Jackson UGBs: Talent in Context

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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.69% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.96% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.16% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,099 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,420 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3,011 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.08% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.03% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.52% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.44 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.39 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.21 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $10,860 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $29,063 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $51,215 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.95% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.31% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Jackson County: Talent UGB Boundaries

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# Talent UGB Pop Forecast

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# Talent UGB Pop Forecast

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# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

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