Oregon Population Forecast Program

.title[
# Oregon Population Forecast Program
]
.subtitle[
## Preliminary Forecasts for Counties & UGBs
]
.author[
### Klamath County
]
.institute[
### Portland State University Population Research Center
]
.date[
### December 2025
]

---

# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

---

# PSUPRC Project Team

**Joshua Wilde**  
*Research Scientist*

**Gilbert Montcho**  
*Demographic and Labor Economics Analyst*

]

**Huda Alkitkat**  
*Population Estimates Project Manager*

**David Swanson**  
*Research Associate*

**Suniva Thangaraj**  
*Program Manager*
]

---

# Klamath County Outline

- Population Overview
- Total Population
- Births
- Deaths
- Migration
- Aging
- Race & Ethnicity
- UGB Forecasts

---

# Klamath at a Glance: 2020 Census

.pulll-right {
 float: right;
 width: 68%;
 }
</style>

.pux-right {
 float: right;
 width: 58%;
 }
</style>

<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Statistic </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Klamath </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Oregon </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Total Population </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 69,413 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,237,256 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 0-17 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.78% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.20% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.48% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.25% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population non-White </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 19.65% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.41% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.39 (32,730 units) </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 (1,813,747 units) </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>

---

# Klamath Employment Changes

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4,798"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(100,178,0,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Government","legendgroup":"Government","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1992.590909090909,1997.590909090909,2002.590909090909,2007.590909090909,2012.590909090909,2017.590909090909,2022.590909090909],"y":[262,253,281,235,179,136,117],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 262","Year: 1998 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 253","Year: 2003 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 281","Year: 2008 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 235","Year: 2013 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 179","Year: 2018 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 136","Year: 2023 County: Klamath Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 117"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,189,92,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Information","legendgroup":"Information","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1993,1998,2003,2008,2013,2018,2023],"y":[2011,2471,2440,2746,2344,2636,2655],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Klamath Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 2,011","Year: 1998 County: Klamath Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 2,471","Year: 2003 County: Klamath Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 2,440","Year: 2008 County: Klamath Industry: Leisure and hospitality 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---

# Klamath Migration Flows

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---

# Klamath Population

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---

# Klamath Compositional Changes

.pulll-left[
Natural change has been on the decline, lowering the impact of positive net migration. 
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---

# Klamath Births

.pulll-right[
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]

---

# Klamath Deaths

.pulll-right[
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1,086","Year: 2041-2045 Annual Deaths: 1,102","Year: 2046-2050 Annual Deaths: 1,099"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(101,3,96,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[7.7000000000000002,7.7000000000000002],"y":[-55.111549779846897,1157.3425453767848],"text":"","type":"scatter","mode":"lines","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","dash":"dot"},"hoveron":"points","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":47.614777916147794,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":54.860938148609392},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":"Klamath Death 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---

# Klamath Life Expectancy & TFR

---

# Population Pyramids

.pulll-left[
Growth of the population 65 and older is expected to make the compostion of the county more "top-heavy".
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2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 0-4 Population: 1,440","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 5-9 Population: 1,547","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 10-14 Population: 1,684","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 15-19 Population: 1,761","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 20-24 Population: 1,710","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 25-29 Population: 1,763","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 30-34 Population: 1,982","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 35-39 Population: 2,138","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 40-44 Population: 2,162","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 45-49 Population: 2,112","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 50-54 Population: 2,321","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 55-59 Population: 2,656","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 60-64 Population: 2,632","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 65-69 Population: 2,418","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 70-74 Population: 2,052","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 75-79 Population: 1,696","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 80-84 Population: 1,256","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 85+ Population: 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1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 747","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 392","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 1,348","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 755","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 0-4 Population: 1,722","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 5-9 Population: 1,971","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 10-14 Population: 2,297","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 15-19 Population: 2,238","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 20-24 Population: 2,176","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 25-29 Population: 1,900","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 30-34 Population: 2,008","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 35-39 Population: 2,257","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 40-44 Population: 2,264","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 45-49 Population: 2,036","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 50-54 Population: 1,907","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 55-59 Population: 2,017","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 60-64 Population: 1,961","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 65-69 Population: 2,253","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 70-74 Population: 2,155","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 1,883","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 1,164","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 1,650","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 1,063","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 743"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(165,223,249,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Male","legendgroup":"Male","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x2","yaxis":"y2","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":62.492320464923225,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":69.73848069738483},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":" Age 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---

# Klamath Race and Ethnicity

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---

# Klamath UGB Population Changes

---

# Klamath UGBs: Bonanza in Context

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<img src="Klamath_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-15-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.59% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.81% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 46.53% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 126 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 152 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 175 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 79.37% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.45% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 83.43% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.70 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.99 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.77 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $12,143 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $31,944 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $90,313 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.10% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.71% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.73% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Klamath County: Bonanza UGB Boundaries

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---

# Bonanza UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Bonanza UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Klamath UGBs: Chiloquin in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.25% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.73% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.04% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 288 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 290 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 358 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.15% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.62% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.08% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.10 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.79 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.55 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $11,118 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $20,688 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $40,781 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 71.31% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 67.14% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 74.78% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Klamath County: Chiloquin UGB Boundaries

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---

# Chiloquin UGB Pop Forecast

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# Chiloquin UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Klamath UGBs: Klamath Falls in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.49% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.76% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.68% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7,364 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8,722 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9,979 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.86% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.76% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.08% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.37 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.36 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.30 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $13,353 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $28,498 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $46,695 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.67% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.35% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.14% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Klamath County: Klamath Falls UGB Boundaries

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# Klamath Falls UGB Pop Forecast

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# Klamath Falls UGB Pop Forecast

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# Klamath UGBs: Malin in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Klamath_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-30-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.70% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.87% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 6.02% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 224 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 217 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 277 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.96% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.17% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.50% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.62 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.19 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.82 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $12,500 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $29,750 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $52,500 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.89% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.73% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.75% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

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# Klamath County: Malin UGB Boundaries

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# Malin UGB Pop Forecast

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# Malin UGB Pop Forecast

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# Klamath UGBs: Merrill in Context

.pux-right[
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.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.97% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.89% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 351 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 380 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 338 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.88% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.53% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.83% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.54 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.61 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.67 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $11,136 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $23,304 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $52,708 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.30% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.95% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.72% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---

# Klamath County: Merrill UGB Boundaries

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# Merrill UGB Pop Forecast

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# Merrill UGB Pop Forecast

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# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

---