class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide .title[ # Oregon Population Forecast Program ] .subtitle[ ## Proposal Forecasts for Counties & UGBs ] .author[ ### Linn County ] .institute[ ### Portland State University Population Research Center ] .date[ ### February 2025 ] --- class: center # Comments or Questions? ## Contact PSUPRC Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu) Telephone: 503-725-3922 ## Preliminary Population Projections https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts --- class: center # PSUPRC Project Team .pull-left[ **Huda Alkitkat, PhD.** *Population Estimates Manager* **Seth Dowden** *Research Assistant* **Neal Marquez, PhD.** *Population Forecast Manager* **Gilbert Montcho, PhD.** *Demographic & Labor Econ Analyst* **Scott Nordstrom, PhD.** *Post-Doctoral Researcher* ] .pull-right[ **Ethan Sharygin, PhD.** *Director* **Aja Sutton, PhD.** *Post-Doctoral Researcher* **David Swanson, PhD.** *Research Associate* **Suniva Thangaraj** *Program Manager* **Joshua Wilde, PhD.** *Research Scientist* ] --- # Linn County Outline - Introduction - Updates - County Overview - UGB Forecasts <style type="text/css"> .pulll-left { float: left; width: 20%; } .pulll-right { float: right; width: 68%; } </style> <style type="text/css"> .pux-left { float: left; width: 38%; } .pux-right { float: right; width: 58%; } </style> <style type="text/css"> .puz-left { float: left; width: 58%; } .puz-right { float: right; width: 38%; } </style> <style type="text/css"> .city table { font-size: 14px; } </style> --- # PSUPRC OPFP Population Forecasts .puz-left[ - For the purposes of land use planning PSUPRC generates population forecasts - For counties, urban growth boundaries (UGBs), and areas outside UGBs - These forecasts must - Be updated at least every four years - Cover a 50 year forecast horizon - Include most up to date data - Allow for public input/objections - Methods & results publicly available ] .puz-right[  ] --- # Oregon Population Forecast Program Cycle  --- # Methods Review: Cohort Component Method .pux-left[ - For Counties - Births = Females 15-50 * Birth Rate - Both number of and rate of births in OR decreasing - Deaths = All Population * Death Rate - While number of deaths are increasing rate of deaths decreasing - Migration = Past migration events - Average of past migration is most likely scenario moving forward ] .pux-right[  ] --- # Methods Review: Housing Unit Method .pull-left[ - For UGBs - `\(P_t = P_{t-1} + \Delta HU*PPH*OCC\)` - `\(PPH\)`: Persons per household - Estimated from most recent census data - `\(OCC\)`: Occupancy Rate - Estimated from most recent census data - `\(\Delta HU\)`: annual change in housing units - Modeled based on past housing unit growth trends ] .pull-right[  ] --- # After this meeting - Email for further follow up - March 15, 2025 forecast discussion period ends - Chance to formally appeal until May 5, 2025 - Will review appeals in the following week - No further changes will be made after May 15, 2025 - Reports and data tables will be available June 15, 2025 --- class: center, middle, inverse # Updates --- # Survey and Preliminary Meeting Feedback - Received housing and general survey responses from over 20 organizations - Updated GIS UGB boundary lines - Account for large public works alter housing development trajectories - Incorporate group quarter expansions - Adjusted housing unit productions - Housing build moratoriums - General concerns - Restrictions on development - Access to others responses --- # Incoporation of 2024 Certified Estimates  --- # Agreement from US Census Bureau Concerning Oregon's Growth  --- # Fertility Changes  --- # Life Expectancy Changes  # Housing Developments  --- class: center, middle, inverse # Linn County Forecast --- # Linn County at a Glance <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Statistic </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Linn </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Oregon </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Total Population </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 128,610 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,237,256 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 0-17 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.12% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.20% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.98% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.25% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Population non-White </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.89% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.41% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.58 (51,921 units) </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 (1,813,747 units) </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- # Linn County Beyond the Census
--- # Linn Employment Changes
--- # Linn Migration Flows
--- # Linn Population .pulll-left[ We project that Linn's population will continue to grow, albeit at a slower rate than what has been observed in the past. ] .pulll-right[
] --- # Linn Compositional Changes .pulll-left[ Historically, population growth has come from natural change and net migration. In the future it will be driven solely by net migration. ] .pulll-right[
] --- # Linn Births .pulll-left[ Birth numbers are low for Linn County, and will continue to decline in the future as fertilty rates decrease. ] .pulll-right[
] --- # Linn Deaths .pulll-left[ Deaths in Linn County will increase as the population ages. ] .pulll-right[
] --- # Linn Life Expectancy & TFR <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-14-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Population Pyramids .pulll-left[ Linn's population age structure will continue to be heavily influenced by the college age population. ] .pulll-right[
] --- # Linn Race and Ethnicity .pulll-left[ Linn's non-White population will continue to grow more quickly than the White population. ] .pulll-right[
] --- # Linn UGB Population Changes
--- class: center, middle, inverse # Linn UGB Forecasts --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Albany in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-18-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.51% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.73% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.57% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 11,256 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 17,374 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 23,105 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.53% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.71% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.90% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.52 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.49 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.51 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $61,658 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $73,612 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $86,719 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.86% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.86% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.35% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Albany Beyond the Census
--- # Albany Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Albany UGB Boundaries
--- # Albany UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-23-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Albany UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-24-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Brownsville in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-25-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.82% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.59% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.31% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 479 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 579 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 716 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.90% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.40% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.11% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.83 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.71 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.49 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $58,059 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $66,284 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $97,371 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.11% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.00% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 98.01% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Brownsville Beyond the Census
--- # Brownsville Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Brownsville UGB Boundaries
--- # Brownsville UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-30-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Brownsville UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-31-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Gates in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-32-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.36% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.81% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.72% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 202 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 261 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 263 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.10% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 79.69% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.87% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.50 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.26 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.29 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,799 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,415 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $75,345 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 81.10% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.50% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.78% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Gates Beyond the Census
--- # Gates Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Gates UGB Boundaries
--- # Gates UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-37-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Gates UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-38-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Halsey in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-39-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.65% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.87% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.22% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 251 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 267 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 349 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.24% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.38% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 98.28% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.03 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.87 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.80 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $68,574 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $85,753 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $119,620 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.14% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.24% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.65% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Halsey Beyond the Census
--- # Halsey Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Halsey UGB Boundaries
--- # Halsey UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-44-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Halsey UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-45-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Harrisburg in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-46-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.09% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.80% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.39% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 684 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,038 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,365 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.30% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.28% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.70% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.92 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.83 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.77 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $62,126 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $74,914 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $64,263 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.54% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.25% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.52% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Harrisburg Beyond the Census
--- # Harrisburg Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Harrisburg UGB Boundaries
--- # Harrisburg UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-51-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Harrisburg UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-52-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Idanha in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-53-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.15% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.62% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 57.05% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 125 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 116 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 89 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.00% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 73.28% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 83.15% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.04 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.73 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.11 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $74,406 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $57,871 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $92,175 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 80.30% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.55% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.22% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Idanha Beyond the Census
--- # Idanha Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Idanha UGB Boundaries
--- # Idanha UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-58-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Idanha UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-59-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Lebanon in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-60-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.06% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.75% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.78% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,249 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 5,457 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 7,569 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.27% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.05% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.32% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.58 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.51 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.50 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $51,818 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $58,336 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $66,174 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.37% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.57% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.71% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Lebanon Beyond the Census
--- # Lebanon Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Lebanon UGB Boundaries
--- # Lebanon UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-65-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Lebanon UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-66-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Lyons in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-67-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.43% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.80% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 25.71% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 336 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 395 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 515 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.37% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.18% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.51% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.86 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.71 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.61 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $68,680 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $75,403 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $117,111 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.90% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.82% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.39% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Lyons Beyond the Census
--- # Lyons Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Lyons UGB Boundaries
--- # Lyons UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-72-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Lyons UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-73-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Mill City in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-74-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.12% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.34% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.26% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 650 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 629 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 765 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.38% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.83% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.63% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.63 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.72 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.81 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $56,635 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,372 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $91,501 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 85.47% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.29% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.08% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Mill City Beyond the Census
--- # Mill City Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Mill City UGB Boundaries
--- # Mill City UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-79-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Mill City UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-80-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Millersburg in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-81-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.12% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.21% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.45% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 245 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 288 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,080 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.80% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.32% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.94% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.55 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.79 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $58,083 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $66,252 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $148,078 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.65% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.35% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.09% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Millersburg Beyond the Census
--- # Millersburg Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Millersburg UGB Boundaries
--- # Millersburg UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-86-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Millersburg UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-87-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Scio in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-88-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.55% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.25% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.63% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 258 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 278 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 370 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.41% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.32% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.57% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.40 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.61 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.65 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $44,133 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $67,452 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $93,987 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.00% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.88% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.15% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Scio Beyond the Census
--- # Scio Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Scio UGB Boundaries
--- # Scio UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-93-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Scio UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-94-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Sodaville in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-95-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.36% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.07% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.11% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 71 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 115 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 134 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.96% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.30% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 98.51% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.59 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.76 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.73 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $56,920 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $78,218 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $67,059 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 78.87% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.29% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.74% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Sodaville Beyond the Census
--- # Sodaville Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Sodaville UGB Boundaries
--- # Sodaville UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-100-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Sodaville UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-101-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Sweet Home in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-102-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.07% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.17% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.80% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,820 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 3,347 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,037 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.20% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.51% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.30% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.65 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.59 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.56 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $46,163 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $57,961 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $70,570 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 83.14% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.57% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.18% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Sweet Home Beyond the Census
--- # Sweet Home Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Sweet Home UGB Boundaries
--- # Sweet Home UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-107-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Sweet Home UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-108-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Tangent in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-109-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.09% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.72% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.87% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 199 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 366 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 463 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.48% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.62% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.33% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.52 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.75 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.76 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $54,605 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $82,619 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $103,774 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.31% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.95% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.21% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Tangent Beyond the Census
--- # Tangent Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Tangent UGB Boundaries
--- # Tangent UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-114-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Tangent UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-115-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: city # Linn UGBs: Waterloo in Context .pux-right[ <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-116-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" /> ] .pux-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.41% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.97% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 26.58% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 79 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 84 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.94% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.21% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.05% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.95 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.88 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.81 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $61,799 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $64,794 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> $94,764 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 74.26% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.06% </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.45% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> ] --- # Waterloo Beyond the Census
--- # Waterloo Beyond the Census
--- # Linn County: Waterloo UGB Boundaries
--- # Waterloo UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-121-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- # Waterloo UGB Pop Forecast <img src="Linn_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-122-1.png" width="750px" height="500px" /> --- class: center # Comments or Questions? ## Contact PSUPRC Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu) Telephone: 503-725-3922 ## Preliminary Population Projections https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts