Oregon Population Forecast Program

.title[
# Oregon Population Forecast Program
]
.subtitle[
## Proposal Forecasts for Counties & UGBs
]
.author[
### Marion County
]
.institute[
### Portland State University Population Research Center
]
.date[
### February 2025
]

---

# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts

---

# PSUPRC Project Team

**Huda Alkitkat, PhD.**  
*Population Estimates Manager*

**Seth Dowden**  
*Research Assistant*

**Neal Marquez, PhD.**  
*Population Forecast Manager*

**Gilbert Montcho, PhD.**  
*Demographic & Labor Econ Analyst*

**Scott Nordstrom, PhD.**  
*Post-Doctoral Researcher*
]

**Aja Sutton, PhD.**  
*Post-Doctoral Researcher*

**David Swanson, PhD.**  
*Research Associate*

**Suniva Thangaraj**  
*Program Manager*

**Joshua Wilde, PhD.**  
*Research Scientist*
]

---

# Marion County Outline

- Introduction
- Updates
- County Overview
- UGB Forecasts

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---

# PSUPRC OPFP Population Forecasts

.puz-left[
- For the purposes of land use planning PSUPRC generates population forecasts
- For counties, urban growth boundaries (UGBs), and areas outside UGBs
- These forecasts must
    - Be updated at least every four years
    - Cover a 50 year forecast horizon
    - Include most up to date data
    - Allow for public input/objections
    - Methods & results publicly available

]

.puz-right[
![Oregon Seal](https://sos.oregon.gov/PublishingImages/Oregon-State-Seal-Navy-Gold.png)
]

---
# Oregon Population Forecast Program Cycle

![Program Cycle](program_cycle.png)

---
# Methods Review: Cohort Component Method

.pux-left[
- For Counties
- Births = Females 15-50 * Birth Rate
  - Both number of and rate of births in OR decreasing
- Deaths = All Population * Death Rate
  - While number of deaths are increasing rate of deaths decreasing
- Migration = Past migration events
  - Average of past migration is most likely scenario moving forward

]

---
# Methods Review: Housing Unit Method

.pull-left[
- For UGBs
- `$P_t = P_{t-1} + \Delta HU*PPH*OCC$`
- `$PPH$`: Persons per household
  - Estimated from most recent census data
- `$OCC$`: Occupancy Rate
  - Estimated from most recent census data
- `$\Delta HU$`: annual change in housing units
  - Modeled based on past housing unit growth trends

]

---
# After this meeting

- Email for further follow up  
- March 15, 2025 forecast discussion period ends
- Chance to formally appeal until May 5, 2025
  - Will review appeals in the following week
- No further changes will be made after May 15, 2025
- Reports and data tables will be available June 15, 2025

---
class: center, middle, inverse

# Updates

---
# Survey and Preliminary Meeting Feedback

- Received housing and general survey responses from over 20 organizations
- Updated GIS UGB boundary lines 
- Account for large public works alter housing development trajectories
- Incorporate group quarter expansions
- Adjusted housing unit productions
- Housing build moratoriums
- General concerns
  - Restrictions on development  
  - Access to others responses
  
---
# Incoporation of 2024 Certified Estimates

![Estimates](./pop_est_page.png)

---
# Agreement from US Census Bureau Concerning Oregon's Growth

![Oregonion](./oregonian.png)

---

# Fertility Changes

![Oregonion](./birth_story.png)

---

# Life Expectancy Changes

![lex](./lex_recent.png)

# Housing Developments

![housing](./housing_news.png)

---
class: center, middle, inverse

# Marion County Forecast

---
# Marion County at a Glance

<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Statistic </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Marion </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Oregon </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Total Population </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 345,920 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,237,256 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 0-17 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.97% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.20% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population Aged 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.15% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.25% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Population non-White </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 34.25% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.41% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.73 (128,541 units) </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.48 (1,813,747 units) </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>

---

# Marion County Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion Employment Changes

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1993 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 5,252","Year: 1998 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 5,666","Year: 2003 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 5,588","Year: 2008 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 5,781","Year: 2013 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 5,625","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 5,713","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Financial activities Sector Jobs: 6,127"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(174,162,0,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Financial activities","legendgroup":"Financial 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973","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,288","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Information Sector Jobs: 1,545"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,189,92,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Information","legendgroup":"Information","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1993,1998,2003,2008,2013,2018,2023],"y":[8519,9512,10864,11340,11572,13715,13646],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 8,519","Year: 1998 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 9,512","Year: 2003 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 10,864","Year: 2008 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 11,340","Year: 2013 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 11,572","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 13,715","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Leisure and hospitality Sector Jobs: 13,646"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,193,167,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Leisure and hospitality","legendgroup":"Leisure and hospitality","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1993.409090909091,1998.409090909091,2003.409090909091,2008.409090909091,2013.409090909091,2018.409090909091,2023.409090909091],"y":[12420,13878,11524,11267,9808,10862,10045],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 12,420","Year: 1998 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 13,878","Year: 2003 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 11,524","Year: 2008 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 11,267","Year: 2013 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 9,808","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 10,862","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Manufacturing Sector Jobs: 10,045"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,186,222,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Manufacturing","legendgroup":"Manufacturing","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1993.8181818181818,1998.8181818181818,2003.8181818181818,2008.8181818181818,2013.8181818181818,2018.8181818181818,2023.8181818181818],"y":[8577,8869,9123,10374,10104,9541,10451],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 8,577","Year: 1998 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 8,869","Year: 2003 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 9,123","Year: 2008 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 10,374","Year: 2013 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 10,104","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 9,541","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Natural resources and mining Sector Jobs: 10,451"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,166,255,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Natural resources and mining","legendgroup":"Natural resources and mining","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1994.2272727272727,1999.2272727272727,2004.2272727272727,2009.2272727272727,2014.2272727272727,2019.2272727272727,2024.2272727272727],"y":[6197,8540,11009,11894,10974,13553,15526],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 6,197","Year: 1998 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 8,540","Year: 2003 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 11,009","Year: 2008 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 11,894","Year: 2013 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 10,974","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 13,553","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Professional and business services Sector Jobs: 15,526"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(179,133,255,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Professional and business services","legendgroup":"Professional and business 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transportation, and utilities Sector Jobs: 25,770","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Trade, transportation, and utilities Sector Jobs: 27,235"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(239,103,235,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Trade, transportation, and utilities","legendgroup":"Trade, transportation, and utilities","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177,0.40909090909099177],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1995.0454545454545,2000.0454545454545,2005.0454545454545,2010.0454545454545,2015.0454545454545,2020.0454545454545,2025.0454545454545],"y":[4413,4990,4922,5176,4986,5973,5234],"text":["Year: 1993 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 4,413","Year: 1998 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 4,990","Year: 2003 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 4,922","Year: 2008 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 5,176","Year: 2013 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 4,986","Year: 2018 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 5,973","Year: 2023 County: Marion Industry: Unclassified Sector Jobs: 5,234"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(255,99,182,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Unclassified","legendgroup":"Unclassified","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":47.614777916147794,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":77.177251971772549},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":"Marion County Job 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(y) ","x"]},"highlight":{"on":"plotly_click","persistent":false,"dynamic":false,"selectize":false,"opacityDim":0.20000000000000001,"selected":{"opacity":1},"debounce":0},"shinyEvents":["plotly_hover","plotly_click","plotly_selected","plotly_relayout","plotly_brushed","plotly_brushing","plotly_clickannotation","plotly_doubleclick","plotly_deselect","plotly_afterplot","plotly_sunburstclick"],"base_url":"https://plot.ly"},"evals":[],"jsHooks":[]}</script>

---

# Marion Migration Flows

<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-80ca5e25a868a6e363ba" style="width:750px;height:500px;"></div>
<script type="application/json" data-for="htmlwidget-80ca5e25a868a6e363ba">{"x":{"data":[{"orientation":"v","width":[0.90000000000000036,0.89999999999999991,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000013],"base":[0,0,0,0,0],"x":[4,1,5,3,2],"y":[3346,1975,1328,1182,837],"text":["Year: 2016-2020 County: Marion Alt: Oregon Polk County Direction: In Migrants: 3,346","Year: 2016-2020 County: Marion Alt: Oregon Clackamas County Direction: In Migrants: 1,975","Year: 2016-2020 County: Marion Alt: Oregon Washington County Direction: In Migrants: 1,328","Year: 2016-2020 County: Marion Alt: Oregon Multnomah County Direction: In Migrants: 1,182","Year: 2016-2020 County: Marion Alt: Oregon Linn County Direction: In Migrants: 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1,174"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(165,223,249,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"name":"Out","legendgroup":"Out","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x2","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":62.492320464923225,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":28.825238688252394,"l":51.14155251141554},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":"Migration Flows","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":22.316313823163149},"x":0,"xref":"paper"},"xaxis":{"domain":[0,0.48616299986162997],"automargin":true,"type":"linear","autorange":false,"range":[0.40000000000000002,5.5999999999999996],"tickmode":"array","ticktext":["Oregon Clackamas County","Oregon Linn County","Oregon Multnomah County","Oregon Polk County","Oregon Washington 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","x"]},"highlight":{"on":"plotly_click","persistent":false,"dynamic":false,"selectize":false,"opacityDim":0.20000000000000001,"selected":{"opacity":1},"debounce":0},"shinyEvents":["plotly_hover","plotly_click","plotly_selected","plotly_relayout","plotly_brushed","plotly_brushing","plotly_clickannotation","plotly_doubleclick","plotly_deselect","plotly_afterplot","plotly_sunburstclick"],"base_url":"https://plot.ly"},"evals":[],"jsHooks":[]}</script>

---

# Marion Population

.pulll-left[
We project that Marion's population will continue to grow, albeit at a slower rate than what has been observed in the past.
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-9949c8244c3f0cbffcc1" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
<script type="application/json" data-for="htmlwidget-9949c8244c3f0cbffcc1">{"x":{"data":[{"orientation":"v","width":[9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1980,1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[204.69200000000001,229.93799999999999,285.411,315.96300000000002,346.26700000000011,363.95983165051643,387.61634472385629,406.90245085142186,423.77806369989059,438.15870625110239],"text":["Type: Estimate Year: 1980 Population: 204,692 APG: +3.1%","Type: Estimate Year: 1990 Population: 229,938 APG: +1.2%","Type: Estimate Year: 2000 Population: 285,411 APG: +2.2%","Type: Estimate Year: 2010 Population: 315,963 APG: +1.0%","Type: Estimate Year: 2020 Population: 346,267 APG: +0.9%","Type: Forecast Year: 2030 Population: 363,960 APG: +0.5%","Type: Forecast Year: 2040 Population: 387,616 APG: +0.6%","Type: Forecast Year: 2050 Population: 406,902 APG: +0.5%","Type: Forecast Year: 2060 Population: 423,778 APG: +0.4%","Type: Forecast Year: 2070 Population: 438,159 APG: +0.3%"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(109,141,36,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[9,9,9,9,9],"base":[0,0,0,0,0],"x":[2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[385.36603355890298,407.81787640709098,424.99578540151703,442.87841915481602,461.51350411101998],"text":["Type: Previous Forecast Year: 2030 Population: 385,366","Type: Previous Forecast Year: 2040 Population: 407,818","Type: Previous Forecast Year: 2050 Population: 424,996","Type: Previous Forecast Year: 2060 Population: 442,878","Type: Previous Forecast Year: 2070 Population: 461,514"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(89,89,89,0)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)"}},"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[2025,2025],"y":[-23.075675205551001,484.58917931657101],"text":"","type":"scatter","mode":"lines","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","dash":"dot"},"hoveron":"points","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":47.614777916147794,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":54.860938148609392},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":"Marion Population 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(in Thousands)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286}},"hoverformat":".2f"},"shapes":[{"type":"rect","fillcolor":"transparent","line":{"color":"rgba(51,51,51,1)","width":0.8453149175440583,"linetype":"solid"},"yref":"paper","xref":"paper","x0":0,"x1":1,"y0":0,"y1":1}],"showlegend":false,"legend":{"bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","bordercolor":"transparent","borderwidth":2.405153901216893,"font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":14.87754254877543}},"hovermode":"closest","barmode":"relative"},"config":{"doubleClick":"reset","modeBarButtonsToAdd":["hoverclosest","hovercompare"],"showSendToCloud":false},"source":"A","attrs":{"4271639dd52":{"x":{},"y":{},"text":{},"type":"bar"},"427140f135af":{"x":{},"y":{},"text":{}},"42711bfb9578":{"x":{},"y":{},"text":{},"label":{}},"4271221207a2":{"xintercept":{}}},"cur_data":"4271639dd52","visdat":{"4271639dd52":["function (y) ","x"],"427140f135af":["function (y) ","x"],"42711bfb9578":["function (y) ","x"],"4271221207a2":["function (y) ","x"]},"highlight":{"on":"plotly_click","persistent":false,"dynamic":false,"selectize":false,"opacityDim":0.20000000000000001,"selected":{"opacity":1},"debounce":0},"shinyEvents":["plotly_hover","plotly_click","plotly_selected","plotly_relayout","plotly_brushed","plotly_brushing","plotly_clickannotation","plotly_doubleclick","plotly_deselect","plotly_afterplot","plotly_sunburstclick"],"base_url":"https://plot.ly"},"evals":[],"jsHooks":[]}</script>
]

---

# Marion Compositional Changes

.pulll-left[
Historically, population growth has come from natural change and net migration. In the future it will be driven solely by net migration.
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-306ad2c8eeaee11c5995" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
<script type="application/json" data-for="htmlwidget-306ad2c8eeaee11c5995">{"x":{"data":[{"orientation":"v","width":[0.89999999999999991,0.90000000000000013,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.89999999999999947,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858],"base":[4525.5,2872.1999999999994,728.20000000000073,937.3999999999993,807.00000000000239,1902.0000000000014,2606.666666666667,2066.4618993222612,2057.8373639562628,2113.4540681268973,-184.44985543617614,-412.81853470435351,-526.21023228802142],"x":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13],"y":[1726,2034.2000000000003,2081.8000000000002,2360,1824.5999999999999,1516.7999999999997,512,832.12136699899474,457.85558247142126,102.15560011339221,184.44985543617614,412.81853470435351,526.21023228802142],"text":["Year: 1990-1994 Change: Natural Change Population: 1,726","Year: 1995-1999 Change: Natural Change Population: 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Change","showlegend":true,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"orientation":"v","width":[0.89999999999999991,0.90000000000000013,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.89999999999999947,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13],"y":[4525.5,2872.1999999999994,728.20000000000073,937.3999999999993,807.00000000000239,1902.0000000000014,2606.666666666667,2066.4618993222612,2057.8373639562628,2113.4540681268973,2188.4210641339055,2266.0685515197197,2313.6062890699313],"text":["Year: 1990-1994 Change: Net Migrants Population: 4,526","Year: 1995-1999 Change: Net Migrants Population: 2,872","Year: 2000-2004 Change: Net Migrants Population: 728","Year: 2005-2009 Change: Net Migrants Population: 937","Year: 2010-2014 Change: Net Migrants Population: 807","Year: 2015-2019 Change: Net 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(y) ","x"],"427133369fc5":["function (y) ","x"]},"highlight":{"on":"plotly_click","persistent":false,"dynamic":false,"selectize":false,"opacityDim":0.20000000000000001,"selected":{"opacity":1},"debounce":0},"shinyEvents":["plotly_hover","plotly_click","plotly_selected","plotly_relayout","plotly_brushed","plotly_brushing","plotly_clickannotation","plotly_doubleclick","plotly_deselect","plotly_afterplot","plotly_sunburstclick"],"base_url":"https://plot.ly"},"evals":[],"jsHooks":[]}</script>
]

---

# Marion Births

.pulll-left[
Birth numbers are low for Marion County, and will continue to decline in the future as fertilty rates decrease.
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-6d62520654ab5e2b5310" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
<script type="application/json" data-for="htmlwidget-6d62520654ab5e2b5310">{"x":{"data":[{"orientation":"v","width":[0.89999999999999991,0.90000000000000013,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.89999999999999947,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13],"y":[3932.5,4431.8000000000002,4568.1999999999998,4917.1999999999998,4424.6000000000004,4350.1999999999998,3892.75,3866.3125057469611,3818.3669175949308,3791.1403437745939,3761.2305240588621,3694.7125059773343,3641.2235874432531],"text":["Year: 1990-1994 Annual Births: 3,932","Year: 1995-1999 Annual Births: 4,432","Year: 2000-2004 Annual Births: 4,568","Year: 2005-2009 Annual Births: 4,917","Year: 2010-2014 Annual Births: 4,425","Year: 2015-2019 Annual Births: 4,350","Year: 2020-2024 Annual Births: 3,893","Year: 2025-2029 Annual Births: 3,866","Year: 2030-2034 Annual Births: 3,818","Year: 2035-2039 Annual Births: 3,791","Year: 2040-2044 Annual Births: 3,761","Year: 2045-2049 Annual Births: 3,695","Year: 2050-2054 Annual Births: 3,641"],"type":"bar","textposition":"none","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(165,223,249,1)","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"transparent"}},"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[7.5,7.5],"y":[-245.86000000000001,5163.0599999999995],"text":"","type":"scatter","mode":"lines","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","dash":"dot"},"hoveron":"points","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":47.614777916147794,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":69.73848069738483},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":"Marion Birth 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","x"]},"highlight":{"on":"plotly_click","persistent":false,"dynamic":false,"selectize":false,"opacityDim":0.20000000000000001,"selected":{"opacity":1},"debounce":0},"shinyEvents":["plotly_hover","plotly_click","plotly_selected","plotly_relayout","plotly_brushed","plotly_brushing","plotly_clickannotation","plotly_doubleclick","plotly_deselect","plotly_afterplot","plotly_sunburstclick"],"base_url":"https://plot.ly"},"evals":[],"jsHooks":[]}</script>
]

---

# Marion Deaths

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-5ef5c7117c39996f2ef5" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
<script type="application/json" data-for="htmlwidget-5ef5c7117c39996f2ef5">{"x":{"data":[{"orientation":"v","width":[0.89999999999999991,0.90000000000000013,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.89999999999999947,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13],"y":[2206.5,2397.5999999999999,2486.4000000000001,2557.1999999999998,2600,2833.4000000000001,3364.5,3034.1911387479668,3360.5113351235095,3688.9847436612017,3945.6803794950383,4107.531040681688,4167.4338197312745],"text":["Year: 1990-1994 Annual Deaths: 2,206","Year: 1995-1999 Annual Deaths: 2,398","Year: 2000-2004 Annual Deaths: 2,486","Year: 2005-2009 Annual Deaths: 2,557","Year: 2010-2014 Annual Deaths: 2,600","Year: 2015-2019 Annual Deaths: 2,833","Year: 2020-2024 Annual Deaths: 3,364","Year: 2025-2029 Annual Deaths: 3,034","Year: 2030-2034 Annual Deaths: 3,361","Year: 2035-2039 Annual Deaths: 3,689","Year: 2040-2044 Annual Deaths: 3,946","Year: 2045-2049 Annual Deaths: 4,108","Year: 2050-2054 Annual Deaths: 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]

---

# Marion Life Expectancy & TFR

---

# Population Pyramids

.pulll-left[
Marion's population age structure will continue to be heavily influenced by the college age population. 
]

.pulll-right[
<div class="plotly html-widget html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-119bc174206a98c2911e" style="width:504px;height:400px;"></div>
<script type="application/json" data-for="htmlwidget-119bc174206a98c2911e">{"x":{"data":[{"orientation":"h","width":[0.89999999999999991,0.90000000000000013,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.90000000000000036,0.89999999999999947,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858,0.89999999999999858],"base":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"x":[8.5510000000000002,8.7189999999999994,8.2620000000000005,7.5149999999999997,7.367,8.2240000000000002,9.0749999999999993,9.1989999999999998,8.2710000000000008,6.3869999999999996,5.0650000000000004,4.6689999999999996,4.9210000000000003,5.2789999999999999,4.734,3.9180000000000001,2.9460000000000002,2.6299999999999999],"y":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18],"text":["Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Female Age: 0-4 Population: 8,551","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate 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Female Age: 70-74 Population: 8,009","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Female Age: 75-79 Population: 5,457","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Female Age: 80-84 Population: 3,406","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Female Age: 85+ Population: 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2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 0-4 Population: 9,480","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 5-9 Population: 9,947","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 10-14 Population: 11,414","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 15-19 Population: 11,824","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 20-24 Population: 12,075","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 25-29 Population: 11,661","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 30-34 Population: 11,978","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 35-39 Population: 12,516","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 40-44 Population: 11,825","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 45-49 Population: 11,586","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 50-54 Population: 10,384","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 55-59 Population: 10,150","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 60-64 Population: 9,682","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 65-69 Population: 9,929","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 70-74 Population: 9,530","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 75-79 Population: 8,016","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 80-84 Population: 5,602","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 85+ Population: 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2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 0-4 Population: 9,073","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 5-9 Population: 9,558","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 10-14 Population: 10,206","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 15-19 Population: 10,745","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 20-24 Population: 11,130","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 25-29 Population: 11,707","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 30-34 Population: 13,248","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 35-39 Population: 13,601","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 40-44 Population: 13,903","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 45-49 Population: 13,358","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 50-54 Population: 13,222","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 55-59 Population: 13,451","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 60-64 Population: 12,437","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 65-69 Population: 11,778","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 70-74 Population: 10,157","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 75-79 Population: 9,029","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 80-84 Population: 7,330","Year: 2050 Type: Forecast Sex: Female Age: 85+ Population: 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1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 0-4 Population: 9,049","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 5-9 Population: 9,145","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 10-14 Population: 8,623","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 15-19 Population: 8,390","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 20-24 Population: 8,306","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 25-29 Population: 9,521","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 30-34 Population: 9,907","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 35-39 Population: 9,664","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 40-44 Population: 8,637","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 45-49 Population: 6,306","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 50-54 Population: 4,917","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 55-59 Population: 4,270","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 60-64 Population: 4,076","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 65-69 Population: 4,279","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 70-74 Population: 3,615","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 2,717","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 1,683","Year: 1990 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 0-4 Population: 10,975","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 5-9 Population: 11,890","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 10-14 Population: 12,909","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 15-19 Population: 12,170","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 20-24 Population: 11,478","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 25-29 Population: 12,607","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 30-34 Population: 12,441","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 35-39 Population: 11,994","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 40-44 Population: 11,367","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 45-49 Population: 10,448","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 50-54 Population: 10,149","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 55-59 Population: 10,290","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 60-64 Population: 9,874","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 65-69 Population: 8,708","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 70-74 Population: 6,923","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 4,454","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 2,707","Year: 2020 Type: Estimate Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 0-4 Population: 9,950","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 5-9 Population: 10,342","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 10-14 Population: 11,798","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 15-19 Population: 12,601","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 20-24 Population: 13,193","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 25-29 Population: 12,384","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 30-34 Population: 13,023","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 35-39 Population: 12,984","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 40-44 Population: 12,369","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 45-49 Population: 11,881","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 50-54 Population: 10,742","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 55-59 Population: 10,294","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 60-64 Population: 9,543","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 65-69 Population: 9,200","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 70-74 Population: 8,298","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 75-79 Population: 6,456","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 80-84 Population: 4,283","Year: 2030 Type: Forecast Sex: Male Age: 85+ Population: 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---

# Marion Race and Ethnicity

.pulll-left[
Marion's non-White population will continue to grow more quickly than the White population.
]

.pulll-right[
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---

# Marion UGB Population Changes

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1,009","Type: Forecast UGB: Donald Year: 2030 Population: 1,219","Type: Forecast UGB: Donald Year: 2040 Population: 1,381","Type: Forecast UGB: Donald Year: 2050 Population: 1,555","Type: Forecast UGB: Donald Year: 2060 Population: 1,751","Type: Forecast UGB: Donald Year: 2070 Population: 1,976"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(196,154,0,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(196,154,0,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Donald","legendgroup":"Donald","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[465.97487423024751,429.00152039939104,429.33806025755695,510,545.66868825783422,587.24513957914189,621.99269545313462,652.458222596224,678.21324099384401],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Gates Year: 1990 Population: 466","Type: Estimate UGB: Gates Year: 2000 Population: 429","Type: Estimate UGB: Gates Year: 2010 Population: 429","Type: Estimate UGB: Gates Year: 2020 Population: 510","Type: Forecast UGB: Gates Year: 2030 Population: 546","Type: Forecast UGB: Gates Year: 2040 Population: 587","Type: Forecast UGB: Gates Year: 2050 Population: 622","Type: Forecast UGB: Gates Year: 2060 Population: 652","Type: Forecast UGB: Gates Year: 2070 Population: 678"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(169,164,0,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(169,164,0,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Gates","legendgroup":"Gates","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[972.63231643978679,2024.1599906586032,2459.9661826305396,2600,2867.6168468772489,3073.6264505169729,3242.528615613377,3388.4037861448155,3509.846939963536],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Gervais Year: 1990 Population: 973","Type: 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Forecast UGB: Hubbard Year: 2060 Population: 4,566","Type: Forecast UGB: Hubbard Year: 2070 Population: 4,765"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(83,180,0,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(83,180,0,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Hubbard","legendgroup":"Hubbard","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[143.40380253796593,125.18752555604711,77.72145911820121,85,96.068533755746486,115.48169645327424,133.0639050551641,147.71072651290802,158.10459542927964],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Idanha Year: 1990 Population: 143","Type: Estimate UGB: Idanha Year: 2000 Population: 125","Type: Estimate UGB: Idanha Year: 2010 Population: 78","Type: Estimate UGB: Idanha Year: 2020 Population: 85","Type: Forecast UGB: Idanha Year: 2030 Population: 96","Type: Forecast UGB: Idanha Year: 2040 Population: 115","Type: Forecast UGB: Idanha Year: 2050 Population: 133","Type: Forecast UGB: Idanha Year: 2060 Population: 148","Type: Forecast UGB: Idanha Year: 2070 Population: 158"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,186,56,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,186,56,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Idanha","legendgroup":"Idanha","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[1848.3123444315047,2542.8197388825424,3158.6893002383413,3418,3885.845007108252,4333.5010369182028,4713.1007344055706,5027.927453068778,5264.5556140597737],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Jefferson Year: 1990 Population: 1,848","Type: Estimate UGB: Jefferson Year: 2000 Population: 2,543","Type: Estimate UGB: Jefferson Year: 2010 Population: 3,159","Type: Estimate UGB: Jefferson Year: 2020 Population: 3,418","Type: Forecast UGB: Jefferson Year: 2030 Population: 3,886","Type: Forecast UGB: Jefferson Year: 2040 Population: 4,334","Type: Forecast UGB: Jefferson Year: 2050 Population: 4,713","Type: Forecast UGB: Jefferson Year: 2060 Population: 5,028","Type: Forecast UGB: Jefferson Year: 2070 Population: 5,265"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,190,109,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,190,109,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Jefferson","legendgroup":"Jefferson","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[21652.914376841651,31900.679454400361,36412.503596877264,39386,41516.908720570354,44957.179173148215,47847.937883149149,50361.75701125976,52450.54809204732],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Keizer Year: 1990 Population: 21,653","Type: Estimate UGB: Keizer Year: 2000 Population: 31,901","Type: Estimate UGB: Keizer Year: 2010 Population: 36,413","Type: Estimate UGB: Keizer Year: 2020 Population: 39,386","Type: Forecast UGB: Keizer Year: 2030 Population: 41,517","Type: Forecast UGB: Keizer Year: 2040 Population: 44,957","Type: Forecast UGB: Keizer Year: 2050 Population: 47,848","Type: Forecast UGB: Keizer Year: 2060 Population: 50,362","Type: Forecast UGB: Keizer Year: 2070 Population: 52,451"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,192,148,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,192,148,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Keizer","legendgroup":"Keizer","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[315.3123977298913,312.74381833735708,326.69613329033905,354,545.94112635014449,764.58831114924851,909.47747807962719,1048.921814041265,1173.9781183715563],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Mill City Year: 1990 Population: 315","Type: Estimate UGB: Mill City Year: 2000 Population: 313","Type: Estimate UGB: Mill City Year: 2010 Population: 327","Type: Estimate UGB: Mill City Year: 2020 Population: 354","Type: Forecast UGB: Mill City Year: 2030 Population: 546","Type: Forecast UGB: Mill City Year: 2040 Population: 765","Type: Forecast UGB: Mill City Year: 2050 Population: 909","Type: Forecast UGB: Mill City Year: 2060 Population: 1,049","Type: Forecast UGB: Mill City Year: 2070 Population: 1,174"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,192,181,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,192,181,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Mill City","legendgroup":"Mill City","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[2780.6220271380685,3090.8789060005452,3439.2745678578071,3461,3837.5182525653222,4091.6049482920384,4290.2807881928911,4453.2926407912464,4580.4818304321752],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Mt Angel Year: 1990 Population: 2,781","Type: Estimate UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2000 Population: 3,091","Type: Estimate UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2010 Population: 3,439","Type: Estimate UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2020 Population: 3,461","Type: Forecast UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2030 Population: 3,838","Type: Forecast UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2040 Population: 4,092","Type: Forecast UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2050 Population: 4,290","Type: Forecast UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2060 Population: 4,453","Type: Forecast UGB: Mt Angel Year: 2070 Population: 4,580"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,189,210,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,189,210,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Mt Angel","legendgroup":"Mt Angel","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[122766.81256882736,151256.28028368103,167381.17236142635,186037,195878.3778597432,206614.18939486981,215234.17598457253,222910.03362939687,229694.91889327765],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Salem Year: 1990 Population: 122,767","Type: Estimate UGB: Salem Year: 2000 Population: 151,256","Type: Estimate UGB: Salem Year: 2010 Population: 167,381","Type: Estimate UGB: Salem Year: 2020 Population: 186,037","Type: Forecast UGB: Salem Year: 2030 Population: 195,878","Type: Forecast UGB: Salem Year: 2040 Population: 206,614","Type: Forecast UGB: Salem Year: 2050 Population: 215,234","Type: Forecast UGB: Salem Year: 2060 Population: 222,910","Type: Forecast UGB: Salem Year: 2070 Population: 229,695"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,182,235,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,182,235,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Salem","legendgroup":"Salem","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[285.81778589924227,320.90365705081138,360.36676541218463,426,492.25986827438999,537.4481698336881,574.68644256858283,605.53000842657707,629.17859325965208],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 1990 Population: 286","Type: Estimate UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2000 Population: 321","Type: Estimate UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2010 Population: 360","Type: Estimate UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2020 Population: 426","Type: Forecast UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2030 Population: 492","Type: Forecast UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2040 Population: 537","Type: Forecast UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2050 Population: 575","Type: Forecast UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2060 Population: 606","Type: Forecast UGB: Scotts Mills Year: 2070 Population: 629"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(0,171,253,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,171,253,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Scotts Mills","legendgroup":"Scotts Mills","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[6125.630950285733,7969.0824839226198,9592.2800824459318,10886,11952.102782480149,12970.326306998084,13818.24218466204,14542.340108987257,15127.64954955324],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Silverton Year: 1990 Population: 6,126","Type: Estimate UGB: Silverton Year: 2000 Population: 7,969","Type: Estimate UGB: Silverton Year: 2010 Population: 9,592","Type: Estimate UGB: Silverton Year: 2020 Population: 10,886","Type: Forecast UGB: Silverton Year: 2030 Population: 11,952","Type: Forecast UGB: Silverton Year: 2040 Population: 12,970","Type: Forecast UGB: Silverton Year: 2050 Population: 13,818","Type: Forecast UGB: Silverton Year: 2060 Population: 14,542","Type: Forecast UGB: Silverton Year: 2070 Population: 15,128"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(97,156,255,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(97,156,255,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Silverton","legendgroup":"Silverton","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[304.2744141837772,336.52334831357558,387.02726592802662,392,417.64081810807642,446.99768686442775,471.46280847985474,493.16370323427037,511.89458305254016],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: St Paul Year: 1990 Population: 304","Type: Estimate UGB: St Paul Year: 2000 Population: 337","Type: Estimate UGB: St Paul Year: 2010 Population: 387","Type: Estimate UGB: St Paul Year: 2020 Population: 392","Type: Forecast UGB: St Paul Year: 2030 Population: 418","Type: Forecast UGB: St Paul Year: 2040 Population: 447","Type: Forecast UGB: St Paul Year: 2050 Population: 471","Type: Forecast UGB: St Paul Year: 2060 Population: 493","Type: Forecast UGB: St Paul Year: 2070 Population: 512"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(165,138,255,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(165,138,255,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"St Paul","legendgroup":"St Paul","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[5208.3985132200569,6979.2820482177995,7873.777819825561,8388,8750.3044823425607,9392.8453777570794,9934.7772560716567,10419.149700552418,10839.892630854943],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Stayton Year: 1990 Population: 5,208","Type: Estimate UGB: Stayton Year: 2000 Population: 6,979","Type: Estimate UGB: Stayton Year: 2010 Population: 7,874","Type: Estimate UGB: Stayton Year: 2020 Population: 8,388","Type: Forecast UGB: Stayton Year: 2030 Population: 8,750","Type: Forecast UGB: Stayton Year: 2040 Population: 9,393","Type: Forecast UGB: Stayton Year: 2050 Population: 9,935","Type: Forecast UGB: Stayton Year: 2060 Population: 10,419","Type: Forecast UGB: Stayton Year: 2070 Population: 10,840"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(208,120,255,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(208,120,255,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Stayton","legendgroup":"Stayton","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[1432.9482244679505,2087.9487298168447,2672.7401771825166,2956,3207.9075885444172,3383.6211471564329,3518.2402170123346,3630.6358950311451,3722.2743879800419],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Sublimity Year: 1990 Population: 1,433","Type: Estimate UGB: Sublimity Year: 2000 Population: 2,088","Type: Estimate UGB: Sublimity Year: 2010 Population: 2,673","Type: Estimate UGB: Sublimity Year: 2020 Population: 2,956","Type: Forecast UGB: Sublimity Year: 2030 Population: 3,208","Type: Forecast UGB: Sublimity Year: 2040 Population: 3,384","Type: Forecast UGB: Sublimity Year: 2050 Population: 3,518","Type: Forecast UGB: Sublimity Year: 2060 Population: 3,631","Type: Forecast UGB: Sublimity Year: 2070 Population: 3,722"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(236,105,239,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(236,105,239,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Sublimity","legendgroup":"Sublimity","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[1276.6867708065215,1188.1265156116094,1860.2849244034201,2474,3180.7387360149519,3682.8428949549489,4117.4571180765161,4466.4386790662957,4702.9767605382258],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Turner Year: 1990 Population: 1,277","Type: Estimate UGB: Turner Year: 2000 Population: 1,188","Type: Estimate UGB: Turner Year: 2010 Population: 1,860","Type: Estimate UGB: Turner Year: 2020 Population: 2,474","Type: Forecast UGB: Turner Year: 2030 Population: 3,181","Type: Forecast UGB: Turner Year: 2040 Population: 3,683","Type: Forecast UGB: Turner Year: 2050 Population: 4,117","Type: Forecast UGB: Turner Year: 2060 Population: 4,466","Type: Forecast UGB: Turner Year: 2070 Population: 4,703"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(251,97,215,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(251,97,215,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Turner","legendgroup":"Turner","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[13944.262617824224,20858.227718383147,24796.075513714117,26934,31575.545817651091,33325.513752069288,35052.577390695718,37026.512676890561,39333.644490497856],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Woodburn Year: 1990 Population: 13,944","Type: Estimate UGB: Woodburn Year: 2000 Population: 20,858","Type: Estimate UGB: Woodburn Year: 2010 Population: 24,796","Type: Estimate UGB: Woodburn Year: 2020 Population: 26,934","Type: Forecast UGB: Woodburn Year: 2030 Population: 31,576","Type: Forecast UGB: Woodburn Year: 2040 Population: 33,326","Type: Forecast UGB: Woodburn Year: 2050 Population: 35,053","Type: Forecast UGB: Woodburn Year: 2060 Population: 37,027","Type: Forecast UGB: Woodburn Year: 2070 Population: 39,334"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(255,99,185,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(255,99,185,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Woodburn","legendgroup":"Woodburn","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[1990,2000,2010,2020,2030,2040,2050,2060,2070],"y":[44001.00175727145,46225.326314881117,45028.585352483184,47308,44040.294356925566,46421.860881578024,47906.39291730804,48683.751821030222,48737.194985633898],"text":["Type: Estimate UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 1990 Population: 44,001","Type: Estimate UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2000 Population: 46,225","Type: Estimate UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2010 Population: 45,029","Type: Estimate UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2020 Population: 47,308","Type: Forecast UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2030 Population: 44,040","Type: Forecast UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2040 Population: 46,422","Type: Forecast UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2050 Population: 47,906","Type: Forecast UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2060 Population: 48,684","Type: Forecast UGB: Outside UGB Areas Year: 2070 Population: 48,737"],"type":"scatter","mode":"markers","marker":{"autocolorscale":false,"color":"rgba(255,107,150,1)","opacity":1,"size":5.6692913385826778,"symbol":"circle","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(255,107,150,1)"}},"hoveron":"points","name":"Outside UGB Areas","legendgroup":"Outside UGB Areas","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null},{"x":[2024.5,2024.5],"y":[-11403.138412589771,241175.77876498562],"text":"","type":"scatter","mode":"lines","line":{"width":1.8897637795275593,"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","dash":"dash"},"hoveron":"points","showlegend":false,"xaxis":"x","yaxis":"y","hoverinfo":"text","frame":null}],"layout":{"margin":{"t":47.614777916147794,"r":9.2984640929846432,"b":47.422166874221681,"l":84.616023246160253},"plot_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","paper_bgcolor":"rgba(255,255,255,1)","font":{"color":"rgba(0,0,0,1)","family":"","size":18.596928185969286},"title":{"text":"UGB Population 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---
class: center, middle, inverse

# Marion UGB Forecasts

---

# Marion UGBs: Aumsville in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-18-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4.05% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 5.86% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 6.97% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 466 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,024 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,451 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.64% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.85% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.04% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.25 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.12 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.01 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $56,494 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $76,031 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $106,429 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.15% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.53% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.22% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---
# Aumsville Beyond the Census

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---
# Aumsville Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Aumsville UGB Boundaries

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---

# Aumsville UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Aumsville UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Aurora in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-25-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.25% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.13% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 24.27% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 210 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 262 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 431 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.42% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 100.00% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.62 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.62 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.63 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $68,652 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $104,486 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $130,667 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.49% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.41% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 98.48% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Aurora Beyond the Census

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---
# Aurora Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Aurora UGB Boundaries

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---

# Aurora UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Aurora UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Detroit in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.63% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.41% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.18% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 379 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 383 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 393 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 40.63% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 31.07% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 26.97% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.38 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.20 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1.92 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $59,831 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,240 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $73,015 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 77.90% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.60% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 100.00% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Detroit Beyond the Census

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---
# Detroit Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Detroit UGB Boundaries

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---

# Detroit UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Detroit UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Donald in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 5.59% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.54% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 98 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 236 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 376 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.94% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 85.59% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.54% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.81 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.01 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.78 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $57,571 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $84,444 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $100,978 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.39% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.79% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 87.99% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Donald Beyond the Census

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---
# Donald Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Donald UGB Boundaries

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---

# Donald UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Donald UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Gates in Context

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]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.36% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.81% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 23.72% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 202 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 261 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 263 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.10% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 79.69% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.87% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.50 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.26 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.29 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,799 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,415 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $75,345 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 81.10% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.50% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.78% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Gates Beyond the Census

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---
# Gates Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Gates UGB Boundaries

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---

# Gates UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Gates UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Gervais in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-53-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.89% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4.68% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.09% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 228 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 477 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 659 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.61% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.76% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.05% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.67 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4.39 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4.09 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $58,922 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $81,967 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $107,969 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 75.21% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.98% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.13% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Gervais Beyond the Census

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---
# Gervais Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Gervais UGB Boundaries

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---

# Gervais UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Gervais UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Hubbard in Context

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.66% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.25% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.52% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 614 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 799 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,064 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.28% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.46% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.80 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.30 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.30 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $57,021 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $72,568 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $110,630 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.48% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.46% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Hubbard Beyond the Census

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---
# Hubbard Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Hubbard UGB Boundaries

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---

# Hubbard UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Hubbard UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Idanha in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-67-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.15% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.62% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 57.05% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 125 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 116 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 84.00% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 73.28% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 83.15% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.04 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.73 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.11 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $74,406 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $57,871 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $92,175 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 80.30% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.55% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.22% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Idanha Beyond the Census

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---
# Idanha Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Idanha UGB Boundaries

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---

# Idanha UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Idanha UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Jefferson in Context

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]

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.81% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7.20% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.85% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 582 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 885 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,166 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.67% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.32% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.17% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.09 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.04 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.94 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $54,074 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $76,468 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $108,875 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 86.03% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.37% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.42% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Jefferson Beyond the Census

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---
# Jefferson Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Jefferson UGB Boundaries

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---

# Jefferson UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Jefferson UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Keizer in Context

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]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.31% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.16% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.82% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 7,146 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12,774 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15,277 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.08% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.80% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.26% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.69 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.64 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.64 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $69,987 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $84,152 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $94,146 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.88% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.76% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.39% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Keizer Beyond the Census

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---
# Keizer Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Keizer UGB Boundaries

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---

# Keizer UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Keizer UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Mill City in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-88-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.34% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.26% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 650 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 629 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 765 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.38% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.83% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.63% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.63 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.72 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.81 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $56,635 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,372 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $91,501 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 85.47% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.29% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.08% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Mill City Beyond the Census

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---
# Mill City Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Mill City UGB Boundaries

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---

# Mill City UGB Pop Forecast

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# Mill City UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Mt Angel in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-95-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.63% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.17% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 21.93% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,011 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,124 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,243 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.04% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.22% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.87% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.71 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.75 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.74 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $42,353 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $67,792 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $67,836 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.75% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.57% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.78% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Mt Angel Beyond the Census

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---
# Mt Angel Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Mt Angel UGB Boundaries

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---

# Mt Angel UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Mt Angel UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Salem in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-102-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.44% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.35% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 37,125 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 53,817 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 67,411 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.08% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.16% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.37% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.39 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.53 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.60 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $58,840 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $72,626 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $83,939 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.23% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.70% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.92% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---
# Salem Beyond the Census

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---
# Salem Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Salem UGB Boundaries

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---

# Salem UGB Pop Forecast

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# Salem UGB Pop Forecast

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# Marion UGBs: Scotts Mills in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-109-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 10.04% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.82% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8.59% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 108 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 148 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.41% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 99.07% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.62% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.93 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.92 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.93 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $42,283 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $65,765 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $77,209 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.19% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 100.00% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]

---
# Scotts Mills Beyond the Census

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---
# Scotts Mills Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Scotts Mills UGB Boundaries

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---

# Scotts Mills UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Scotts Mills UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Silverton in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-116-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.94% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 13.38% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 16.22% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,112 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,865 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,173 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.49% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.45% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.50 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.71 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.63 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $52,486 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $71,781 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $93,418 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 92.77% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.13% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.26% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Silverton Beyond the Census

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---
# Silverton Beyond the Census

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# Marion County: Silverton UGB Boundaries

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---

# Silverton UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Silverton UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: St Paul in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-123-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 9.94% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 14.12% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.67% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 128 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 157 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.74% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.09% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.45% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.47 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.88 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.84 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $90,073 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $81,720 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $135,776 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.54% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.96% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 99.54% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# St Paul Beyond the Census

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---
# St Paul Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: St Paul UGB Boundaries

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---

# St Paul UGB Pop Forecast

---

# St Paul UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Stayton in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-130-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 11.37% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 12.28% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 17.79% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,679 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2,654 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3,233 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.24% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.91% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.04% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.75 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.70 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.65 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $68,446 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $63,516 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $90,276 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 88.84% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.00% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.18% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Stayton Beyond the Census

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---
# Stayton Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Stayton UGB Boundaries

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---

# Stayton UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Stayton UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Sublimity in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-137-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 20.71% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 29.33% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 33.70% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 366 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 711 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 1,147 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.54% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.48% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 98.34% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.83 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.67 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.41 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $63,969 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $91,590 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $93,055 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.00% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.36% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 97.51% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Sublimity Beyond the Census

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---
# Sublimity Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Sublimity UGB Boundaries

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---

# Sublimity UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Sublimity UGB Pop Forecast

---

# Marion UGBs: Turner in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-144-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

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<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 15.23% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 22.10% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 19.15% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 409 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 522 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 978 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.87% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 94.06% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.25% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.77 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.44 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.69 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $60,639 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $67,711 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $125,886 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 89.56% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.87% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 93.98% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Turner Beyond the Census

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---
# Turner Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Turner UGB Boundaries

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---

# Turner UGB Pop Forecast

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# Turner UGB Pop Forecast

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# Marion UGBs: Woodburn in Context

.pux-right[
<img src="Marion_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-151-1.png" width="800px" height="400px" />
]

.pux-left[
<table>
 <thead>
 <tr>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> Metric </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 1980 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2000 </th>
 <th style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </th>
 </tr>
 </thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Pop 65+ </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 28.62% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.09% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 18.68% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Units </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 4,566 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 6,824 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 8,517 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Housing Occupancy </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.36% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 91.94% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 96.52% </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Persons Per Household </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 2.51 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.11 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 3.14 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Household Income </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $51,408 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $62,989 </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> $73,221 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> Employment Rate </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.03% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 90.51% </td>
 <td style="text-align:left;"> 95.23% </td>
 </tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]
---
# Woodburn Beyond the Census

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---
# Woodburn Beyond the Census

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---

# Marion County: Woodburn UGB Boundaries

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# Woodburn UGB Pop Forecast

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# Woodburn UGB Pop Forecast

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class: center

# Comments or Questions?

## Contact PSUPRC
Email: [askprc@pdx.edu](mailto:askprc@pdx.edu)  
Telephone: 503-725-3922

## Preliminary Population Projections
https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts